The Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce believes that, by 2012, a litre of gasoline could cost $2.25. I would be surprised if it took that long to get there, and having reached 2012 we might look back on $2.25 with some longing. I have been interested in the subject of peak oil and escalating hydrocarbon demand for about five years now, and I have only costed gasoline as far as $3, assuming that domestic demand would ebb long before. But with no way to imagine where state-subsidized foreign supply and demand might go, I think that all bets are off. Things have changed.
My daily commute is less than a half-hour, and I can get two weeks from a tank of gasoline. I am not sure why a fellow like me who needs 25 litres a week for personal use should pay the same price per litre as someone who, by choice, through lifestyle, needs 100 litres. In any case, while I live very close to necessary retail outlets, I still find it prudent to try to combine chores for single journeys. Most evenings, I do not get away from the office until after 6pm, and so I sometimes take a weekday morning to catch up on some things.
Yesterday, I drove over to the vendor who installed my air conditioner. I bought the most eco-friendly model, I promise, and I now solemnly vow to use it only to keep the temperature in my house from creeping over, say, 26 degrees celsius at the height of our summer drought. But one of the appealing features of the unit is that it comes with a cover. Our climate is dusty and windy, and a clogged air conditioner, I am told, presents a real maintenance concern. In any case, the installer didn’t bring the cover, but he had seen it in the shop. Well, the woman working there told me, matter-of-factly, that they had no covers and no covers even exist. She suggested I have one custom made at a canvas shop.
My second stop was at the water store. There was a time in my life that I would have found “water store” funny, but it too is a scarce resource now, is it not? There are a number of places to buy water nearby, but I wanted to have a chat with the manager of this shop about the bisphenol in the water bottles we use. Unfortunately, the store is understaffed, and the manager has to make deliveries; he shuts down when he hits the road. The sign he leaves says, simply, “I have had to step out. I will be back in 30 minutes.” The problem with this sign, and all signs of this type, is that you have no way of knowing if it was posted 25 minutes or 25 seconds ago. So, no joy here, either.
Just before clocking on, I dropped by the record shop because Billy Bragg has a new disc. It might represent nostalgia on my part, as I have not been wild about a new Billy Bragg record for more than 10 years, but he meant enough to me in my formative years that I still fork over twenty bucks when prompted and think of when Bragg and a little portable amplifier changed my life. I could not find the album, and the clerk (who had never heard of Billy Bragg) consulted a computer to tell me that the store received only two copies, both of which were lost somewhere in the back.
I am not sure what all this means, other than the fact that I wasted a couple of bucks in gas and got nothing but indigestion. But I think it illustrates just how much things have changed. I think it demonstrates how deliberate I have gotten: how concerned I am about energy use, how concerned I am about what my water bottle might contain (other than water, of course). It also speaks to the deplorable state of consumer culture: how difficult it is to get decent service, how precarious is the conspicuous consumption that defines our economy. And in these matters, too, I don’t think we have seen the end of dramatic changes.